Coronavirus and US elections: Will Trump be the winner?

The pandemic has become the Democrats' trump card

"In today’s difficult situation, the economic indicators will affect the US election campaign much more than the total number of victims of the pandemic. Even the temporary closure of businesses will make many Americans jobless and deprive them of their livelihoods," RISS expert Ilya Kravchenko said.

The analyst points out that "today the Democratic presidential candidates are clearly losing ground as they can't hold meetings with voters due to the epidemic while Trump conducts daily press conferences on the fight against the coronavirus. This is how Trump continues his campaign."

Despite this, Democrats are using the coronavirus pandemic as a trump card against the US President. Trump reassures he is not planning to impose a nationwide quarantine that obliges citizens not to leave their homes. Trump has also given broad powers to state governors to combat the virus spread. At the same time, the total amount of confirmed cases of coronavirus infection in the United States is more than 330 thousand people, and the number of virus victims has reached 2977 (this is a very important psychological factor for Americans as the same number of people died in the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001).

At the same time, the fact that the number of jobless Americans is growing is really alarming for Trump. The total amount of Americans filing for unemployment has surged from 3.5% to 4.4%. According to American analysts’ (including Pro-Republican experts) data, the rate of unemployment in the coming months may peak at 10-14%. This will completely negate Trump’s economic achievements, Kravchenko underscores.

"But there is good news even for a Republican President. According to a joint Washington Post-ABC News poll, 15% of Sanders' supporters will vote for Trump if the Democrats nominate Biden as the presidential candidate. If the current President overcomes the crisis with minimal losses, he will get more supporters," RISS expert concluded.

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