USA may provoke a new Cuban missile crisis

After the USA declared a moratorium on the implementation of the INF Treaty, this agreement became invalid. According to RISS expert Sergey Ermakov, the main question now is what to expect in the near future. The US has been preparing to exit INF Treaty years ago. Washington has attempted to accuse Russia of breaking the Treaty. At the same time, Americans themselves failed to comply with the provisions of this agreement. In particular, they placed universal missile launchers, shock wave and target missiles in Europe. "The crucial problem is that both Trump Administration and the US military and political establishment are absolutely not interested in maintaining the old system of agreements and treaties in the field of arms control and disarmament," the analyst said.

He noted that there is a risk to find yourself in a situation where legally binding agreements simply would not exist. Americans say that it will be easier to sign a new contract in this situation. But in fact, this is a very controversial statement, RISS expert said. Russia, for its part, is seeking to adapt the existing treaties to the current military and political situation.

The analyst noted that now it is very important to determine how far Washington intends to withdraw from the INF Treaty.This is also a key issue for the American allies. The deployment of such missiles endangers the US partners in Europe and Asia. The future settlement of the situation will largely depend on the reaction of the NATO member states, South Korea, and Japan. How will they react if Washington launches full-scale deployment of medium-and shorter-range missiles? There were such cases in the history. Such weapons have always provoked crises. The expert recalled the so-called "missile crisis" of the late 80-ies and deployment of medium-range missiles by Washington in Turkey in the 60-ies. This led to the Cuban missile crisis, when the world was on the verge of a nuclear disaster.

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