Ukraine’s parliament has passed a law requiring the use of the Ukrainian language in almost all aspects of public life. According to RISS expert Oleg Nemensky, this law was an attempt by Kiev to repress Russian-speakers. “Terror of Ukrainization is becoming normal in Ukraine. It is impossible to defend the rights of the Russian-speaking population. Nationalist organizations are totally unpunished. Kiev has invented imaginary Russian threats and Russian-speaking people are perceived as representatives of the fifth column. The West, which is considered as a zone of democracy, keeps its eyes closed,” he said.
The global economy is in a precarious and unstable situation now. The US-China trade war could trigger global financial crisis, RISS expert Vyacheslav Kholodkov considers. He recalled Japan’s recent increase in trade tariffs on South Korean high-tech goods, as well as India’s increase in import duties on certain goods from the USA. “If the US-China trade war continues, the threat of a global crisis will increase significantly,” he said.
The EU has not become stronger after new Parliament elections, RISS expert Oksana Petrovskaya considers. “This election reflects the deep crisis in the EU. It was quite difficult to elect head of the European Commission (EC). Ursula von der Leyen was nominated for EU Commission President unexpectedly. She won the elections due to the fact that the leaders of 28 EU states could not agree among themselves,” the analyst said.
Americans are increasingly divided
Russian President V.Putin and US President D.Trump hold a meeting on the sidelines of the G20 Summit in Osaka. RISS expert Vyacheslav Kholodkov believes that it is a remarkable event regardless of the outcome. “The two largest nuclear powers should not ignore each other,” he said.
Increasing economic and military US pressure on Iran threatens to escalate tensions in the Middle East, RISS expert Vladimir Evseev considers. Any provocation may result in a devastating military confrontation. In addition, Israel and Saudi Arabia are interested in aggravating the conflict. “The White House believes that it can control the situation, but we should not forget that many countries continued to fight, even though both sides knew the war was pointless,” he said.
The US, Poland status of forces pact is very important for Warsaw as part of deepening cooperation with Washington, RISS expert Oksana Petrovskaya underscored. “Extending military cooperation with the US, the Polish government clashes with the EU but at the same time is trying to appease the White House. President A.Duda’s visit to Washington and his signing of the Declaration on US-Poland military cooperation have clearly demonstrated this,” she added.
It’s starting to look like the Persian Gulf has a small tanker war in the making, RISS expert Elena Suponina pointed out. “Of course, it is not the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s. But the current situation is very dangerous. Washington immediately blamed Tehran for attack on oil tankers. But such a tanker war is absolutely unconvenient for Iran,” she said.
The SCO summit, which is taking place on June 13-14 in Bishkek, is notable for the fact that India, Pakistan leaders may meet at the summit, RISS expert Vladimir Evseev said. The leaders of these two countries will meet for the first time after the major armed conflict in Kashmir. The expert also recalled that the summit was helding against the backdrop of an escalating US-China trade war.
This year’s St. Petersburg International Economic Forum is the largest in terms of a number and composition of participants than all the previous ones, RISS expert Mikhail Belyaev considers. He noted that the event had been attended by over 19,000 participants from 145 countries. In addition, a record number of agreements was signed: 650 contracts worth 3.1 trillion rubles.